【禁闻】遣返赖昌星 学者：团派出招击江系

【禁闻】遣返赖昌星 学者：团派出招击江系

【新唐人2011年7月19日讯】厦门〝远华走私案〞的头号疑犯赖昌星，逃亡加拿大10多
年，在江泽民传出病危后，他被遣返中国的可能性骤增。香港媒体评论，赖昌星是胡锦
涛的绝妙棋子。

《星岛日报》18号说，赖昌星上周已经由预审中心，移送到加拿大卑诗省的菲沙地区惩
教中心（Fraser Regional CorrectionCentre）羁押。21号则是有关执行遣返令的聆
讯，如果落实遣返，一般相信最快会在25号执行。

赖昌星的走私和腐败案，不仅涉及中共军方高层人物，还涉及江泽民班底人马。

政治评论家林保华："因为到了这种高层的话，要不要整的时候都是和上面的派系斗争
有关系。当时主要是朱鎔基，因为朱鎔基管经济的嘛，他认为这个走私对经济（有影响
），当时作为一个大案来处理。朱鎔基要整，那么整的这个对像，贾庆林是江泽民的
人，所以江泽民当然要保护啊。"

而《苹果日报》18号发表文章《赖昌星是胡锦涛绝妙棋子》，文中说："北京盛传胡锦
涛在四月得知老江病危后，马上命令外交、司法等部门向加拿大施压，在中方承诺不判
死刑的条件下马上遣返赖昌星。"

林保华认为，赖昌星被引渡的可能性比较大。

林保华："江泽民的政敌像胡锦涛共青团这一派，要成功的把赖昌星引渡回去他要做到
两点。一点是会给赖昌星优惠的条件，比如説回来不判你死刑，让你讲更多的话。现在
据説赖昌星有一点心动了。第二个就是説，加拿大政府从人权考虑，如果赖昌星讲很多
话可能给他优待，加拿大把他放回去也不必背上人权的包袱。"

《苹果日报》分析，赖昌星命运涉及三位政治局常委，就是政协主席贾庆林、中央纪律
检查委员会书记贺国强、和国家副主席兼〝王储〞习近平。江泽民病重已让〝上海帮〞
失去奥援，如果赖昌星被遣送回国，抖出当年的秘密，咬出相关的当事人，团派定然在
十八大人事布局中占上风。

不过也有评论说，赖昌星被遣返可能引曾庆红出手，或者政治局常委中的中纪委书记贺
国强、中央政法委书记周永康的干预。林保华表示，江系人马的阻挡程度和他的涉案程
度有关。

林保华："如果是江泽民涉案的话，因为江泽民现在已经很老了，快死了，其他人不涉
案的话，其他人就不一定会去阻挡这个事情。但如果其他人也涉案的话，如果贺国强和
习近平也涉案的话，那当然他们就会有很多动作来阻挡。"

《苹果日报》的文章说，胡锦涛这一招是要招安江系人马，为第六代领导铺路。不
过，不管结果如何，中共的权斗风暴势必进一步影响中国 内政外交。

新唐人记者常春、尚燕、郭敬采访报导。

The prime suspect of the Xiamen Yuanhua Smuggling Case,Lai Changxing, who
fled to Canada over a decade ago,will more likely be repatriated to China
after news ofJiang's illness.Hong Kong's media suggest thatLai is a special
political leverage for Hu Jingtao.

Sing Tao Daily said on July 18 that

Lai Changxing had been transferred from a pre-trial center toFraser
Regional Correction Centre in Canada last week.The hearing of deportation
case will be held on July 21.If confirmed, execution will come before 25.

Upon learning that the Governor of Calif. was coming to visit,Lai's
smuggling and corruption case not only involvesthe top military officials
in Chinese Communist Party (CCP),but also Jiang Zemin's family members and
cronies.

Lin Baohua (Political Critic): For officials as high as them,it's
inevitable that they have connections with top CCP camps.Since the times of
the CCP's ex-premier Zhu Rongji,who was mainly in charge of the economic
policies,also thought that smuggling might affect the economy.Therefore, he
treated smuggling cases seriously.The main target for Zhu Rongji's move is
Jia Qinlin,one of Jiang's cronies and was under Jiang's protection.

Apple Daily published on July 18 an article titled,"Lai Changxing: A
political leverage for Hu Jingtao", saying"When informed of Jiang's illness
in April, Foreign Ministryand Justice departments immediately pressured
Canada,asking for Lai's repatriation,on the conditions it was
death-penalty-free.

Upon learning that the Governor of Calif. was coming to visit,Lin Baohua
suggests they are more likely to extradite Lai.

Lin Baohua: "For Jiang Zemin's political rival, such as Hu'sCommunist Youth
League, to successfully extradite Laithey have to be sure of two things:
first, a favorable condition,such as death-penalty-free or freedom of
speech;secondly, to Canada, if Lai benefits from freedom of speech,it also
releases Canada from the burden of human rights."

Apple Daily suggests that Lai connects with threeCCP Politburo members: the
President of CPPCC Jia Qinglin,Secretary of Central Commission for
Discipline InspectionHe Guoqiang, and the CCP Vice President Xi
Jinping.Jiang's illness weakens his camp's power;if Lai is sent back to
China and reveals past secrets,Hu Jintao's clan will surely prevailin the
coming 18th CCP conference.

Some critiques also suggest that the return of Lai will resultin Zeng
Qinhong's move,or interference from CCP Politburo secretary He Guoqiangand
CCP Politics and Law Committee secretary Zhou Yongkang.Lin Baohua assumes
that Jiang's clan relies onits extent of involvement to interfere.

Lin Baohua: "If Jiang Zemin was not involved in the case,since he is too
old to live any longer, his clans may not interfere,provided they were not
involved at all.

But if they were, along with He Guoqiang and Xi Jinping,then they'll employ
more moves to interfere with this case."

Apple Daily suggests that Hu Jintao's move aims to recruitin preparation
for the 6th generation of CCP leaders.CCP's internal power conflicts will
affect China's politicsand diplomacy, regardless of the result of the
transition.

NTD reporters Chang Chun,Shang Yan and Guo Jing 2011-07-19
11:43:16http://www.ntdtv.com/xtr/gb/2011/07/19/a561753.html.-【禁闻】遣返赖
昌星--学者：团派出招击江系.html